Weekly Round-Up - IRINSA-55: 25-Jan-02

U N I T E D   N A T I O N S
Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
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SOUTHERN AFRICA IRIN-SA Weekly Round-up 55 17 - 25 January 2002

CONTENTS: ZIMBABWE: Britain, EU go soft on Harare ZAMBIA: Constitutional crisis looms ANGOLA: IDPs increase steadily as army 'clean-up' rolls on MALAWI: Imported maize arriving slowly SOUTH AFRICA: SA sends aid to Goma MADAGASCAR: Presidential runoff within 30 days MOZAMBIQUE: High economic growth expected MAURITIUS: Cyclone damage update BOTSWANA: Khoisan told to move from ancestral lands ZIMBABWE: Britain, EU go soft on Harare Another tumultuous week ended in Zimbabwe with news reports that Britain and the European Union (EU) were softening their stance against President Robert Mugabe and his government. The Financial Times reported on Friday 25 January that Britain had decided that its main priority was to ensure that Mugabe allowed international observers to witness presidential polls on 9-10 March. Britain was concerned that if it pushed for immediate sanctions against Mugabe, and Zimbabwe's early suspension from the Commonwealth, he would reject international observers for the election, the newspaper reported. Britain was also loath to give Mugabe political ammunition for his campaign as he whipped up support by denouncing the United Kingdom as an interfering former colonial power, the report said. The newspaper said that an EU meeting on Monday 28 January, Britain was expected to stop short of seeking the immediate imposition of sanctions that could result in Mugabe's overseas bank accounts being frozen. Instead, Britain was likely to press European foreign ministers to issue a warning that sanctions would be imposed if international observers were not allowed into Zimbabwe soon, it added. Obasanjo visits on peace mission The week began with the second city of Bulawayo enveloped in tension on Monday 21 January, but there was no repeat of the political clashes and running street battles that led to 39 arrests the day before. A journalist in the city told IRIN that the police had denied reports that four people had died in the violence on Sunday between ruling ZANU-PF party militants and the opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) supporters. News reports said 20 people were wounded. There was no independent confirmation of an MDC statement that 14 of its members were missing. According to the journalist, the police said that all of the 39 people arrested belonged to the MDC. The violence came as Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo arrived in Zimbabwe on a peace mission ahead of presidential elections in March. Obasanjo, who brokered the so-called Abuja Agreement on land reform between Zimbabwe and former colonial power Britain last year, held talks with President Robert Mugabe early on Monday and said progress on the agreement was slow, AFP reported. He also held talks with opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai, MDC spokesman Learnmore Jongwe told IRIN. "He assured us that Mugabe was saying he will now stop the violence. Mr Tsvangirai pointed out that the very day he was being assured the political campaign would be free and fair, we were being stopped from campaigning in Bulawayo," Jongwe said. For more details: http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=19694&SelectRegion=Southern_Africa&SelectCountry=ZIMBABWE Changes to media bill "cosmetic" - journalists In another development, independent media groups and journalists told IRIN on Wednesday 23 January that amendments to a controversial new media bill were only "cosmetic" changes. While several other restrictive laws passed through the parliament in the week, the amended media bill created divisions among the ruling ZANU-PF party and was shelved yet again until next week. "The so-called amendments are cosmetic changes. The bill is still draconian and is still an attempt to restrict the media," Abel Mutsakani, head of the Independent Journalists Association of Zimbabwe said. Takura Zhngzha, an advocacy officer with the Zimbabwe chapter of the Media Institute of South Africa (MISA), told IRIN that the proposed changes seemed only to relate to the accreditation of foreign journalists. "From what we understand it seems that foreign journalists who are permanent residents will be able to register. Also foreign journalists will be able to register but to cover a specific event only," Zhngzha said. The original bill barred foreigners from working as correspondents in Zimbabwe. "We still condemn the bill in the highest form. As we see no significant changes have been made and we think that it is still as bad it was," Zhngzha added. Signs of progress - ZimRights At the same time a national human rights group in the country, ZimRights, said on Tuesday 23 January there were signs that the Zimbabwean government was trying to honour commitments it made to its neighbours at the recent Southern African Development Community (SADC) summit in Malawi. "We are seeing signs of the government respecting commitments it made to SADC (because) at the last meeting SADC really came down heavily," ZimRights director Bidi Munyaradzi said. He added that in spite of violence reported at an opposition rally in Bulawayo at the weekend, it seemed as though the government was moving to clamp down on violence and keep some of its promises. For more details: http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=19846&SelectRegion=Southern_Africa&SelectCountry=ZIMBABWE WFP aid arrives In a positive development for those facing hunger in the country, the first consignment of food aid arrived in Zimbabwe on Wednesday 23 January, a spokeswoman for the World Food Programme (WFP) told IRIN. "The first three trucks of food for WFP's Zimbabwe emergency arrived yesterday (Wednesday) by road. A total of 102 mt," said Brenda Barton from WFP's regional office in Nairobi. Barton said the food being brought into Zimbabwe was maize meal, a staple food for many Zimbabweans. "Overall 5,200 mt of maize meal is to be moved over the coming weeks, followed by 600 mt of beans, groundnuts and 110 mt of vegetable oil," she added. For more details: http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=20012&SelectRegion=Southern_Africa&SelectCountry=ZIMBABWE ZAMBIA: Constitutional crisis looms Zambia looked headed for a constitutional crisis on Friday 25 January, after its new parliament closed unceremoniously only hours after it started sitting following sharp differences over the election process for a Speaker, political analysts said. Police were called to restore order after indignant opposition members turned on parliamentary officials, including Clerk of the National Assembly Mwelwa Chibesakunda, in an unruly protest against the manner in which the voting was to be run. Chibesakunda had planned to conduct the poll by secret ballot - a move opposition parliamentarians feared was intended to manipulate the ballot in favour of the ruling Movement for Multiparty Democracy (MMD). The parliament is for the first time in its history dominated by the opposition, which holds 81 of the 158 seats. Opposition members have resolved to vote as a bloc to ensure that one of them is made Speaker. However, it is widely suspected that the MMD has "paid" some opposition members to vote for its candidate, and is therefore anxious that voting be secret, analysts say. The suspicion that the ruling party is up to no good has been reinforced by a government decision to ban the media from observing the election. The constitution stipulates that voting for the Speaker be done by affirmation. For more details: http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=20065&SelectRegion=Southern_Africa&SelectCountry=ZAMBIA http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=20007&SelectRegion=Southern_Africa&SelectCountry=ZAMBIA President Levy Mwanawasa's government also faces a challenge on the economic front. Zambia's prospects looked increasingly uncertain this week as a key investor in the strategic copper mining sector contemplated pulling out of the country. Zambia Copper Investments (ZCI) suspended trading in its shares on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) late on Wednesday 23 January on instruction of its directors amid speculation that Anglo American Corporation, which owns 50.9 percent of ZCI stock, planned to write down its investment and leave the country. ZCI's major investment in Zambia is a 65 percent stake in Konkola Copper Mines, one of the most important of the country's mining assets. Zambia depends on copper and cobalt exports for around 80 percent of its foreign receipts. For more details: http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=20021&SelectRegion=Southern_Africa&SelectCountry=ZAMBIA ANGOLA: IDPs increase steadily as army 'clean-up' rolls on Insecurity in the southeastern province of Moxico has sent thousands of people fleeing into the capital, Luena, and aid workers expect more people to flock to the town for humanitarian aid in coming weeks. "During the last weeks of December and the first week of January, more than 5,000 people arrived in Luena. Expectations for the next few weeks is that there will be a continuing influx of people from the southern part of Moxico province," an OCHA source said on Friday 25 January. The source said there were concerns that the IDP facilities in Luena were overcrowded, and that increasing numbers and infrastructural problems - like the poor condition of the Luena airstrip - would "eventually limit the capacity to assist" those seeking help. For more details: http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=19445&SelectWeekly=Weekly&WRegion=Southern_Africa Russia endorses peace process Meanwhile, Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov said on Wednesday 23 January that the so called "troika" three nation observer group on the Angolan peace process should remain active "to regulate the situation" on the ground in Angola. The countries involved in the troika, formed in 1991, are the United States, Russia and Portugal. Ivanov was speaking in Lisbon, where he had arrived for short talks with Lisbon's Foreign Minister Jaime Game. "We have confirmed our availability to take an active role in the Angolan peace process", said Ivanov, who declined to give further details. In a related development, a senior US official said this week that the United States, "in the capacity of members of the troika, is already involved in the peace process of Angola and will give a full support", according to Angolan news agency Angop on Friday. MALAWI: Imported maize arriving slowly In Malawi this week, maize finally started trickling in after a lengthy delay caused by transport and other logistical problems. Henry Gaga, general manager of the country's National Food Reserve Agency (NFRA), told IRIN on Tuesday 22 January that between 1,200 mt and 1,400 mt of the staple was arriving into the country daily from South Africa. "The shortages are particularly in the southern parts of Malawi. We are diverting all the imported maize into those regions," he told IRIN. Gaga said that of the 150,000 mt of maize ordered from South Africa in August, only 60,000 mt had arrived so far. The rest was expected to be delivered by the end of February. In addition, another 30,000 mt ordered from Tanzania was expected to arrive "any day", he added. For more details: http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=19843&SelectRegion=Southern_Africa&SelectCountry=MALAWI SOUTH AFRICA: SA sends aid to Goma In an effort to help with relief efforts in Goma, the South African government said this week that it expected to fly its first consignment of relief aid to the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) on Sunday 27 January to assist victims of the Mount Nyiragongo volcanic eruption. In addition, according to ministry of foreign affairs spokesman Ronnie Mamoepa, the government would "make a financial contribution to the relevant international organisations co-ordinating relief efforts". He told IRIN the money would come from the African Renaissance Fund aimed at consolidating democracy, stability, peace and security on the continent. The government was in the process of determining how much it had in the fund and how much it could afford to donate, he said. Conflict over payment for basic services On the development front, a new Canadian study found that poverty was the new enemy in post-apartheid South Africa, and the government's policy of cost recovery and privatisation of basic services had created new areas of friction with the country's poor and marginalised. Municipal services such as water, sanitation and electricity, are many people's main contact with government, said the latest issue of Reports, a publication of Canada's International Development Research Centre (IDRC). It quoted David McDonald of the Municipal Services Project (MSP) of Queen's University, Ontario, as suggesting: "The crisis of cost recovery, I would say, is enormous ... In many ways, it has undermined the ANC's [ruling African National Congress] otherwise impressive infrastructure programme." For more details: http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=20014&SelectRegion=Southern_Africa&SelectCountry=SOUTH_AFRICA MADAGASCAR: Presidential runoff within 30 days The political crisis in Madagascar seemed to worsen this week after the High Constitutional Court (HCC) confirmed on Friday that neither President Didier Ratsiraka nor Marc Ravalomanana, mayor of the capital Antananarivo, had won an outright majority in last month's presidential election. UN Development Programme (UNDP) Resident Representative Adama Guindo told IRIN on Friday 25 January that the court rejected Ravalomanana's requests for official national electoral council tallies to be compared with those of the opposition. Ravalomanana claimed he won about 52 percent of the vote in the 16 December poll, while provisional results showed he scooped 46.59 percent and Ratsiraka took 40.59 percent of the vote, making a runoff necessary. Four other candidates took part in the election. For more details: http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=20034 MOZAMBIQUE: High economic growth expected The economic outlook for Mozambique is favourable, with a growth rate of between 8 and 9 percent expected in 2002-2203, the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) said in its latest country overview. "Growth will be underpinned by high levels of foreign direct investment including two large-scale projects: the expansion of the Mozal aluminium smelter and the construction of a gas export pipeline to South Africa," the EIU said. According to the EIU, the government's main economic policy goals will be to achieve "high rates of sustainable, poverty reducing" growth and to consolidate macroeconomic stability so as to increase the delivery of social services. On the political front the unit said that the ruling FRELIMO party was under growing pressure to take action against organised crime and corruption, "with which it is perceived as having close links". The EIU noted that Mozambique's partners in the international community were viewing governance issues with "growing concern", particularly the issue of corruption in the banking sector. However, it added that support for the government remained "strong" because of the government's "sound" economic policies, the favourable conditions for economic growth and poverty reduction, and the belief that Mozambique is a success story which the international community needs to support. Cyclone Dina not yet a threat Meanwhile, humanitarian officials told IRIN on Thursday 24 January that Cyclone Dina was heading towards the Mozambique Channel in the Indian Ocean, but was unlikely to affect the Mozambican mainland. "Thanks to the cold water in the south, Dina is decreasing in intensity and will disappear in the south without reaching either Madagascar or Mozambique," Jean-Cedric Meeus, UNICEF logistics officer in Maputo told IRIN. However, the Mozambican government, forced to cope with two successive years of flooding and storm damage, said it was not taking any chances. Mozambican news reports on Wednesday 23 January quoted Mussa Mustafa, head of Mozambique's National Meteorology Institute (INAM) as saying that even though the cyclone was "likely to weaken" and currently did not pose a threat to Mozambique, if atmospheric conditions were right then the cyclone could intensify again. Mustafa said that if this should happen then the southern Mozambican coast, particularly Inhambane province, would be at risk. MAURITIUS: Cyclone damage update In its latest situation report on the damage caused by Cyclone Dina on the island of Mauritius, the UN's Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) said on Friday 25 January that sugar production would be affected with an estimated loss of US $40-47 million. It added that there would be a deficit of 15-20 percent for the next season. OCHA said that most schools had sustained serious damage and that for security reasons, the government has decided to temporarily close all schools. Classes are scheduled to resume on Tuesday 29 January. The situation report noted that 1,000 people have been temporarily accommodated in community and social centres. It reported that there was "considerable" loss of food crops and that the government had authorised the importation of vegetables. According to OCHA, no request for international assistance has been received by the UN system in Mauritius so far. BOTSWANA: Khoisan told to move from ancestral lands The government of Botswana has threatened to cut off water and other essential services to the Basarwa (Khoisan) still living in the central Kalahari Game Reserve (CKGR), the BBC reported this week. The government, since 1996, has been trying to persuade the Basarwa remaining in the reserve to move to relocation camps hundreds of kilometres away. The authorities' initial argument was that their removal would allow better wildlife conservation. That has since changed to stress that better services can be provided to the estimated 600-700 Basarwa in the CKGR if they move out of the reserve. "The government says that it is very expensive to provide services in the reserve and accuses the Basarwa of wanting to remain in the stone age rather than developing," a human rights activist in Botswana told IRIN. "The government claims that those that remain are not enough to warrant the expense of taking services there." She said that the resettlement camps to which the Basarwa who chose to move out of the CKGR were sent are "not pleasant", and some Basarwa have returned to the game reserve. "There's not much to do there, they are not educated and are not farmers. They are hunter-gatherers and you tend to find they turn to alcohol because there is a lot of despair." 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